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Home > Energy Reports > Energy Futures > Canada's Energy Future: Scenarios for Supply and Demand to 2025 (revised in 2003)

Canada's Energy Future: Scenarios for Supply and Demand to 2025 (revised in 2003)

Please note that certain documents in this section are available in PDF format. To inquire about receiving these documents in another format, please contact us. If you do not have PDF viewing software, you can download a free PDF viewer from the Adobe® Web site.

We are pleased to make available Canada's Energy Future: Scenarios for Supply and Demand to 2025. We want to thank those representatives from industry, environmental groups, government agencies and related associations for their input which helped to shape the final document. More than 150 people participated in our consultation sessions and/or provided written feedback.

This report sets itself apart from previous versions by using a scenario approach to address forces, uncertainties and key issues affecting energy supply and demand in Canada. In the report, two plausible energy futures are explored. The scenarios, called "Supply Push" and "Techno-Vert", consider the pace of technology and action on the environment as the two key uncertainties that will shape Canada's energy future. Scenarios are not forecasts; they are designed to challenge our thinking and to provide a framework for public discussion on emerging issues and trends. In reviewing these trends, three key findings emerged:

Key Findings

  • There are significant obstacles to changing the fuel mix or achieving large gains in energy efficiency due to the structure of the Canadian economy; energy use patterns will change slowly and Canada will continue to satisfy the majority of its energy needs from fossil fuels until 2025.
  • Natural gas will be in high demand as a premium clean-burning fossil fuel however, a major uncertainty is the availability of supplies of natural gas.
  • Oil sands production will increase significantly and will offset the decline in conventional crude oil production and become Canada's major source of oil supply; exports will increase considerably through 2025.

For additional information, please view:

23 July 2003 and 3 July 2003

ERRATA: An errata has been issued for Canada's Energy Future - Scenarios for Supply and Demand to 2025 which has been included at the beginnng of the document. These updates have been reflected on the Web site, but not on the CD-ROMs. In addition, future printings of the hard copy document will also contain an errata notice with the updates. The Board apologizes for any inconvenience caused by these changes.

Note: To download the data associated with a table or chart, simply click on it, select open, and save the workbook to your own computer. The workbook is in SILK (.slk) format which is compatible with EXCEL (.xls) format.
7 January 2003 News Release 03/02 - Canada's Energy Future: Scenarios for Supply and Demand to 2025 - Confirmation of Public Consultation Sessions
7 January 2003 Consultation document regarding preliminary results [PDF 1152 KB]
14 November 2002 News Release 02/39 - Share your views on Canada's energy future! The NEB seeks input on draft supply and demand report

 

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Date Modified:
2011-10-28